Gabriele Crivellaro vs Marcello SerafiniM15 Bologna Round of 16

M15 Bologna · ITF · Round of 16
#1228ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 3 September 2026 ·
clay
#1195ATP
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWLWLW
Crivellaro G.
5-7 6-4 6-2
Serafini M.
Crivellaro G.
5662
Serafini M.
7421

Gabriele Crivellaro defeated Marcello Serafini 5-7, 6-4, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the M15 Bologna clay court tournament. Crivellaro hit 7 aces and 3 double faults, while Serafini had 1 ace and 5 double faults. Crivellaro converted 71% of his break points and won 5 service breaks to Serafini's 3.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-06M25 FanoQFclayMarcello Serafini6-3 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
58%
73%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
56%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
38%
39%
Service points won·Slight edge
49%
58%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
43%
58%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.5
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Crivellaro G.28%
Serafini M.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Serafini M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
5.83 of last 5 on clay
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Crivellaro G.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
33°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 30%

Draw