Alejandro Moro Canas vs Marco Cecchinato — Porto Round of 16
Moro Canas A.
Alejandro Moro Canas faces Marco Cecchinato in the Porto round of 16 on clay. Marco Cecchinato holds the paper edge — ranked #166, a roughly 60-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Alejandro Moro Canas dropped the opening set before beating Tiago Cacao 3–6 6–1 6–4.
- Last match: Marco Cecchinato dropped the opening set before beating Nick Hardt 4–6 6–0 6–3.
- Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMoro Canas A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Cecchinato M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.