Edas Butvilas vs Remy BertolaManacor Round of 16

Manacor · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#195ATP
1544ELO
1499Hard ELO
22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWWWLL
Sets
Thursday, 3 September 2026 ·
hard
#174ATP
1579ELO
1528Hard ELO
28 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLLLLLWW
Butvilas E.
vs
Bertola R.

Edas Butvilas faces Remy Bertola in the Manacor round of 16 on hard. Remy Bertola is the paper favourite — ranked #174, a roughly 30-point hard Elo advantage — but Edas Butvilas arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 6 on hard to Remy Bertola's 2.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Butvilas E.51%
Bertola R.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1499
Surface ELO
5.4+29 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1544
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1579
4.8Split 1–1 on hard
H2H
5.2Split 1–1 on hard
7.47 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.34 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

37 vs 32 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
59%
Aces / match·Even
5.2
4.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Butvilas E.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Bertola R.

Bertola R.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Butvilas E.

Serve advantage — Butvilas E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
21
30
Break points saved·Clear edge
85
70
Break points won·Slight edge
4
12
Deciding sets·Clear edge
15
37
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
43
62

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
66

Butvilas E.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Bertola R.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
31°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 40%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw