Duje Ajdukovic vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Como · CHALLENGER · Round of 16

CROALT

Duje Ajdukovic

#319ATP

1480ELO

1462Clay ELO

25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLWLLLWWL

—

Sets

Thursday, 3 September 2026 · 18:30

clay

ITAWC

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

#437ATP

21 yrs · Left-handed

Last 10

WLWLLWWWWW

Ajdukovic D.

Cruz Martin Manzano J.

Duje Ajdukovic faces Juan Cruz Martin Manzano in the Como round of 16 on clay. Duje Ajdukovic is the paper favourite — ranked #319 — but Juan Cruz Martin Manzano arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on clay to Duje Ajdukovic's 4.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC

Ajdukovic D.45%

Cruz Martin Manzano J.55%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano handed Fausto Tabacco a third-set bagel in a 6–3 3–6 6–0 win.
Surface form: Duje Ajdukovic 4 of 10, Juan Cruz Martin Manzano 7 of 10 on clay recently — Juan Cruz Martin Manzano the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Ajdukovic D.

5.7

Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Cruz Martin Manzano J.

5.9

Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

4.04 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

4.85 of last 10 on clay

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

21 vs 10 matches

Statistics

This season

Ajdukovic D.Cruz Martin Manzano J.

1st serve in·Even

62%

64%

1st serve points won·Even

67%

66%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

45%

51%

Service points won·Even

59%

61%

Return points won·Even

40%

Break points saved·Slight edge

49%

59%

Aces / match·Slight edge

3.5

2.8

Double faults / match·Dominant

2.3

4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Ajdukovic D.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Cruz Martin Manzano J.

Cruz Martin Manzano J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Ajdukovic D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Ajdukovic D.Cruz Martin Manzano J.

Freshness·Slight edge

Ajdukovic D.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Cruz Martin Manzano J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Slowlow bounce, long rallies

SlowFast

Weather forecast

30°CClear

Wind 7 km/hHumidity 40%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Duje Ajdukovic vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano — Como Round of 16