Khumoun Sultanov vs Enzo Aguiard — Zhangjiagang Round of 16

Zhangjiagang · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Khumoun Sultanov
UZBQ
Khumoun Sultanov
#461ATP
1379ELO
1367Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWWWLWW
—
Sets
Thursday, 3 September 2026 ·
hard
COURT 6 · 2nd on
AUSQ
Enzo Aguiard
#508ATP
24 yrs
Last 10
WWWLWWWLWL
Sultanov K.
vs
Aguiard E.

Khumoun Sultanov faces Enzo Aguiard in the Zhangjiagang round of 16 on hard. Khumoun Sultanov holds the paper edge — ranked #461. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Sultanov K.68%
Aguiard E.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sultanov K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Last match: Khumoun Sultanov handed Sergey Fomin a second-set bagel in a 7–5 6–0 win.
  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
  • Win streak: Both arrive on three-match winning runs.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sultanov K.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Aguiard E.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.18 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

18 vs 7 matches

Statistics

This season
Sultanov K.Aguiard E.
1st serve in·Even
59%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
36%
Break points saved·Even
66%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
7.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Sultanov K.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Aguiard E.

Aguiard E.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Sultanov K.

Serve advantage — Sultanov K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Sultanov K.Aguiard E.
Freshness·Slight edge
65
59

Sultanov K.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 65 games (7d) · Aguiard E.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 79 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

2nd on COURT 6 · Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Simakin I. v Dellavedova M.
  2. 2Sultanov K. v Aguiard E.This match

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
29°CDrizzle
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 78%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw