Kseniia Ruchkina vs Marine Szostak β€” W15 Cap d'Agde Round of 16

W15 Cap d'Agde Β· ITF Β· Round of 16
#1219WTA
16 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WLWLLWWLWL
0 β€” 2
Sets
Wednesday, 2 September 2026 Β·
clay
#738WTA
1184ELO
1222Clay ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLWLWWLWWW
Ruchkina K.
2-6 5-7
Szostak M.
Ruchkina K.
250
Szostak M.
672

Marine Szostak defeated Kseniia Ruchkina 6-2, 7-5 in the Round of 16 at the W15 Cap d'Agde. Szostak hit one ace and nine double faults, while Ruchkina had none of the former and six of the latter. Szostak converted 38% of her break points and won nine service breaks to Ruchkina's six.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Marine Szostak closed it out in two sets, 6–2 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·
β€”
58%
1st serve points wonΒ·
β€”
59%
2nd serve points wonΒ·
β€”
41%
Service points wonΒ·
β€”
52%
Return points wonΒ·
β€”
48%
Break points savedΒ·
β€”
55%
Aces / matchΒ·
β€”
2.3
Double faults / matchΒ·
β€”
6.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 07:50 UTC
Ruchkina K.25%
Szostak M.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite Β· Szostak M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
6.56 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
32Β°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 38%

Draw