Alina Nesmianovych vs Lian TranW15 Haren Round of 32

W15 Haren · ITF · Round of 32
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLWLLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 2 September 2026 ·
clay
#829WTA
1186ELO
1166Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWLW
Nesmianovych A.
6-3 4-6 4-6
Tran L.
Nesmianovych A.
6441
Tran L.
3662

Lian Tran defeated Alina Nesmianovych 3-6, 6-4, 6-4 in the Round of 32 at the W15 Haren tournament. Tran hit 0 aces and 7 double faults, while converting 57% of break points and securing 8 service breaks. Nesmianovych recorded 5 aces, 5 double faults, 64% break point conversion, and 7 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
74%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
50%
55%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
34%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
44%
52%
Return points won·Even
47%
49%
Break points saved·Clear edge
33%
49%
Aces / match·Even
1.0
0.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
11.0
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Nesmianovych A.12%
Tran L.88%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Tran L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
2.12 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
93

Tran L.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
22°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw