Mika Petkovic vs Thiago MonteiroPorto Round of 16

Porto · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#429ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLLLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 2 September 2026 ·
clay
Central · 3rd on
#275ATP
1568ELO
1554Clay ELO
32 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWWWWL
Petkovic M.
1-6 6-4 2-6
Monteiro T.
Petkovic M.
1621
Monteiro T.
6462

Thiago Monteiro defeated Mika Petkovic in the Round of 16 at the Porto tournament on clay, winning 6-1, 4-6, 6-2. Monteiro served 5 aces and committed 3 double faults, while Petkovic had no aces and 7 double faults. Monteiro converted 58% of his break points and won 7 service breaks to Petkovic's 3.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • The young German upset higher-ranked Tiago Torres 4-6, 7-5, 7-5 in Torres's comeback match after a month-long left elbow injury.

    Umpiry summary — not a quote

    Petkovic M.OPraticante.pt

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Key context

  • Match story: Thiago Monteiro came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 4–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.3
4.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Petkovic M.47%
Monteiro T.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.84 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
90

Petkovic M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Monteiro T.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 55%

Draw