Mark Lajal vs Nicolai Budkov KjaerManacor Round of 32

Manacor · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#152ATP
1589ELO
1556Hard ELO
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 2 September 2026 ·
hard
Pista 2 · 1st on
#149ATP
1620ELO
1598Hard ELO
20 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLLL
Lajal M.
6-3 6-1
Budkov Kjaer N.
Lajal M.
662
Budkov Kjaer N.
310

Mark Lajal defeated Nicolai Budkov Kjaer in the Round of 32 of the Manacor hard-court tournament. Lajal won the match 6-3, 6-1. He hit 4 aces and 2 double faults, converting 67% of break points and securing 4 service breaks to Kjaer's 0.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
70%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.4
4.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
43
67
Break points saved·Slight edge
89
78
Break points won·Dominant
13
39
Deciding sets·Dominant
42
96
Tiebreaks·Even
81
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Lajal M.46%
Budkov Kjaer N.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1556
Surface ELO
5.5+42 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1588
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1620
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.75 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
76
86

Lajal M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d) · Budkov Kjaer N.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
30°CMainly clear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw