Alice Tubello vs Sarah Iliev — W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer Round of 32

W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · ITF · Round of 32
FRA3
Alice Tubello
#221WTA
1487ELO
1479Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 2 September 2026 ·
clay
FRAWC
Sarah Iliev
#767WTA
1219ELO
1170Clay ELO
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLLW
Tubello A.
7-6 6-3
Iliev S.
Tubello A.
71062
Iliev S.
6830

Alice Tubello defeated Sarah Iliev in the Round of 32 at the W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer, winning 7-6, 6-3 on clay. Tubello hit one ace and two double faults, while converting 27% of break points and securing four service breaks. Iliev had one ace, five double faults, 40% break point conversion, and two service breaks.

Key context

  • Match story: Alice Tubello closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Tubello A.Iliev S.
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
43%
Service points won·Even
55%
52%
Return points won·Even
48%
48%
Break points saved·Even
51%
49%
Aces / match·Even
1.1
0.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Tubello A.86%
Iliev S.14%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Tubello A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Tubello A.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Iliev S.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.9+309 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.1Clay Elo 1170
8.4Overall Elo 1487
ELO gap
1.6Overall Elo 1219
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.23 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.56 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
6.0Hard → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Tubello A.Iliev S.
Freshness·
93
—

Tubello A.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw