Lloyd Harris vs Stefanos Tsitsipas — US Open Round of 64
Harris L.
Lloyd Harris faces Stefanos Tsitsipas in the US Open round of 64 on hard. Stefanos Tsitsipas is the paper favourite — ranked #53, defending last year's round of 64, a roughly 160-point hard Elo advantage — but Lloyd Harris arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 9 on hard to Stefanos Tsitsipas's 5.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Tsitsipas S. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Lloyd Harris 204 games in 14 days, Stefanos Tsitsipas 85.
- Under pressure: Stefanos Tsitsipas has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 89 vs Lloyd Harris's 48).
- Last match: Stefanos Tsitsipas dropped the opening set before beating Arthur Fils 4–6 7–6 6–1 6–4.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadHarris L.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d) · Tsitsipas S.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 62 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
3rd on Stadium 17 · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 1WTownsend T. v Preston T.6-16-1
- 2WBoulter K. v Muchova K.
- 3MHarris L. v Tsitsipas S.This match
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.