Yanki Erel vs Kosuke OguraM25 Urayasu Round of 32

M25 Urayasu · ITF · Round of 32
#303ATP
25 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 2 September 2026 ·
hard
#815ATP
30 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLLLL
Erel Y.
6-1 2-6 6-2
Ogura K.
Erel Y.
6262
Ogura K.
1621

Yanki Erel advanced to the next round of the M25 Urayasu tournament with a three-set win over Kosuke Ogura in the Round of 32. Erel took the match 6-1, 2-6, 6-2. In the match, Erel converted 38% of his break points and won five service breaks to Ogura's zero.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Yanki Erel closed it out in three sets, 6–1 2–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
61%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
35%
Break points saved·Even
58%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:50 UTC
Erel Y.93%
Ogura K.7%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Erel Y. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.54 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
30°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw