Edison Ambarzumjan vs Thando Longwe Smit — M15 Monastir Round of 32

M15 Monastir · ITF · Round of 32
GER
Edison Ambarzumjan
#1233ATP
30 yrs
Last 10
LWLLLLLLLL
—
Sets
Wednesday, 2 September 2026 ·
hard
RSA
Thando Longwe Smit
#1042ATP
25 yrs
Last 10
LWLWLWLWWL
Ambarzumjan E.
vs
Longwe Smit T.

Edison Ambarzumjan faces Thando Longwe Smit in the M15 Monastir round of 32 on hard. Thando Longwe Smit holds the paper edge — ranked #1042.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Ambarzumjan E.34%
Longwe Smit T.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Longwe Smit T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ambarzumjan E.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Longwe Smit T.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.31 of last 6 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

2 vs 3 matches

Statistics

This season
Ambarzumjan E.Longwe Smit T.
1st serve in·Even
53%
56%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
54%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
56%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
63%
Return points won·Clear edge
24%
42%
Break points saved·Dominant
46%
78%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.5
3.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Ambarzumjan E.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Longwe Smit T.

Longwe Smit T.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Ambarzumjan E.

Serve advantage — Longwe Smit T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
31°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 52%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw