Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Jay Dylan Hara FriendManacor Round of 32

Manacor · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#254ATP
1412ELO
1270Hard ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWLWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 2 September 2026 ·
hard
Pista 3 · 2nd on
#314ATP
1503ELO
1480Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
6-7 3-6
Dylan Hara Friend J.
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
630
Dylan Hara Friend J.
762

Jay Dylan Hara Friend defeated Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida in the Round of 32 at Manacor. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 6-3 in favor of Hara Friend. He converted 38% of break points and secured 3 service breaks, compared to Pucinelli De Almeida's 2 service breaks and 50% break point conversion.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
37%
Break points saved·Even
55%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.2
4.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.3
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Pucinelli De Almeida M.47%
Dylan Hara Friend J.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.4Hard Elo 1270
Surface ELO
7.6+210 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1412
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1503
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.64 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.27 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
74
91

Pucinelli De Almeida M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 36 games (7d) · Dylan Hara Friend J.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CMainly clear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw