Francisco Rocha vs Tiago PereiraPorto Round of 32

Porto · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#803ATP
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 1 September 2026 ·
clay
Central · 3rd on
#352ATP
1179ELO
1200Clay ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWWW
Rocha F.
4-6 5-7
Pereira T.
Rocha F.
450
Pereira T.
672

Tiago Pereira defeated Francisco Rocha in the Round of 32 at the Porto clay court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 7-5 in favor of Pereira. Pereira converted 60% of his break points and secured 3 service breaks, compared to Rocha's 1, en route to the victory.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-14M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio 1R32hardFrancisco Rocha2-6 7-6(1) 6-1
2022-07-11M25 Idanha-a-Nova 1Q16hardFrancisco Rocha6-4 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
53%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
44%
Service points won·Even
59%
56%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
48%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.7
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Rocha F.36%
Pereira T.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Pereira T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
1.52 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
1.92 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 7
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Hard → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
86
86

Rocha F.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Pereira T.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
20°CMainly clear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 83%

Draw