Maximus Jones vs Oskari PaldaniusManacor Qualifying Round of 16

Manacor · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 16
#485ATP
1348ELO
1322Hard ELO
21 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 1 September 2026 ·
hard
Pista 4 · 3rd on
#834ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWWLW
Jones M.
6-3 6-4
Paldanius O.
Jones M.
662
Paldanius O.
340

Maximus Jones defeated Oskari Paldanius 6-3, 6-4 in the Manacor hard-court qualifying round of 16. The match was part of the tournament's qualifying draw. Jones advanced with the win.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Maximus Jones closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Even
62%
59%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
65%
51%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.6
2.1
Double faults / match·Even
3.1
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Jones M.52%
Paldanius O.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.94 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.03 of last 9 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
78
74

Jones M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Paldanius O.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
30°CMainly clear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw