Laura Hietaranta vs Lucie Nguyen Tan — W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer Round of 32
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · ITF · Round of 32
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 1 September 2026 ·
clay
Hietaranta L.6-4 6-7 1-6
Nguyen Tan L.
Hietaranta L.
66511
Nguyen Tan L.
47762
Lucie Nguyen Tan defeated Laura Hietaranta 4-6, 7-6, 6-1 in the Round of 32 at the W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer. The match saw Nguyen Tan commit 6 double faults and convert 69% of her break points, while Hietaranta had 1 ace and 7 service breaks.
Key context
- Match story: Lucie Nguyen Tan dropped the opening set before beating Laura Hietaranta 4–6 7–6 6–1.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
53%
55%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Even
51%
48%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.7
1.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.1
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTCHietaranta L.74%
Nguyen Tan L.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Hietaranta L. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
2.8Clay Elo 1254
Surface ELO7.2+174 Clay Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1292
ELO gap7.1Overall Elo 1460
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
3.33 of last 10 on clay
Surface form5.25 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 67%