Nick Hardt vs Marco CecchinatoPorto Round of 32

Porto · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#279ATP
1473ELO
1460Clay ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 1 September 2026 ·
clay
Central · 1st on
#166ATP
1576ELO
1546Clay ELO
33 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLW
Hardt N.
6-4 0-6 3-6
Cecchinato M.
Hardt N.
6031
Cecchinato M.
4662

Marco Cecchinato advanced to the next round in Porto with a win over Nick Hardt in the Round of 32. Cecchinato won the match 4-6, 6-0, 6-3. Neither player recorded an ace, a double fault, or converted a break point in the match.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.9
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
26
40
Break points saved·Dominant
33
79
Break points won·Clear edge
32
12
Deciding sets·Even
55
59
Tiebreaks·Dominant
48
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Hardt N.42%
Cecchinato M.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Cecchinato M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Clay Elo 1460
Surface ELO
6.1+86 Clay Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1473
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1576
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
4.15 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
74
74

Hardt N.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d) · Cecchinato M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
22°CMainly clear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 66%

Draw