Carlos Maria Zarate vs Nicolas BrunaM15 Trelew Round of 32

M15 Trelew · ITF · Round of 32
#385ATP
1200ELO
1212Hard ELO
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 1 September 2026 ·
hard
#1028ATP
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLLLL
Maria Zarate C.
6-3 7-6
Bruna N.
Maria Zarate C.
6772
Bruna N.
3620

Carlos Maria Zarate defeated Nicolas Bruna in the Round of 32 of the M15 Trelew tournament, winning 6-3, 7-6 on hard courts. Zarate served seven aces to Bruna's three and converted 50% of his break points, compared to Bruna's 14%. Zarate won two service breaks to Bruna's one.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-23M15 Santiago 6R16clayCarlos Maria Zarate0-6 6-4 6-2
2024-11-17M15 Azul 1Q32clayNicolas Bruna3-6 6-2 10-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.7
3.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.2
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Maria Zarate C.72%
Bruna N.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Maria Zarate C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 14
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
13°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 31%

Draw