Juncheng Shang vs Marco TrungellitiUS Open Round of 128

US Open · ATP · Round of 128
#228ATP
1746ELO
1698Hard ELO
21 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLWL
2 — 3
Sets
Monday, 31 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 13 · 3rd on
#83ATP
1627ELO
1496Hard ELO
36 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLLWL
Shang J.
6-0 6-7 6-1 3-6 4-6
Trungelliti M.
Shang J.
6656342
Trungelliti M.
0771663

Marco Trungelliti defeated Juncheng Shang in the Round of 128 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 0-6, 7-6, 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 in favor of Trungelliti. He converted 57% of his break points and made 4 service breaks, compared to Shang's 7 service breaks and 37% break point conversion rate.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
29%
38%
Break points saved·Even
67%
65%
Aces / match·Even
4.5
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
57
29
Break points saved·Clear edge
91
78
Break points won·Slight edge
16
25
Deciding sets·Clear edge
79
57
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
13

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Shang J.76%
Trungelliti M.24%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Shang J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.5+202 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Hard Elo 1496
6.5Overall Elo 1746
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1627
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.64 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.73 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
91
63

Shang J.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Trungelliti M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 63 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw