Alexander Vasilev vs Juan Manuel La Serna — Plovdiv 3 Round of 32
Vasilev A.
Alexander Vasilev faces Juan Manuel La Serna in the Plovdiv 3 round of 32 on clay. Juan Manuel La Serna holds the paper edge — ranked #283, a roughly 50-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · La Serna J. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Fatigue load: Juan Manuel La Serna carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
- Surface form: Both 4 of 8 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadLa Serna J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.