Jurij Rodionov vs Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardUS Open Round of 128

US Open · ATP · Round of 128
#143ATP
1636ELO
1584Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLWWLWW
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 31 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 6 · 2nd on
#104ATP
1738ELO
1672Hard ELO
23 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWWLW
Rodionov J.
7-6 6-0 7-6
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Rodionov J.
77673
Mpetshi Perricard G.
62060

Jurij Rodionov advanced to the next round of the US Open with a victory over Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the Round of 128. Rodionov won in straight sets, 7-6, 6-0, 7-6. In the match, Rodionov hit 8 aces and committed 0 double faults, while converting 33% of break points and securing 3 service breaks to Mpetshi Perricard's 0.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
59%
73%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
69%
Return points won·Clear edge
39%
27%
Break points saved·Even
64%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.7
18.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
17
57
Break points saved·Clear edge
75
97
Break points won·Slight edge
2
10
Deciding sets·Dominant
45
75
Tiebreaks·Dominant
18
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Rodionov J.38%
Mpetshi Perricard G.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Mpetshi Perricard G. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1584
Surface ELO
6.1+88 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1636
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1738
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.84 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
67
81

Rodionov J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 86 games (7d) · Mpetshi Perricard G.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw