Oleg Prihodko vs Maxim MrvaPlovdiv 3 Round of 32

Plovdiv 3 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#404ATP
1395ELO
1332Clay ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWWLWW
Sets
Monday, 31 August 2026 ·
clay
#211ATP
1500ELO
1447Clay ELO
19 yrs
Last 10
LWWWWWWWLW
Prihodko O.
vs
Mrva M.

Oleg Prihodko faces Maxim Mrva in the Plovdiv 3 round of 32 on clay. Maxim Mrva holds the paper edge — ranked #211, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 120-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC
Prihodko O.57%
Mrva M.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Head-to-head: Maxim Mrva leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at M15 Pardubice 1 2024.
  • Surface form: Oleg Prihodko 7 of 10, Maxim Mrva 8 of 10 on clay recently — Maxim Mrva the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Clay Elo 1332
Surface ELO
6.4+116 Clay Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1395
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1500
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
5.96 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.88 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

16 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.6
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Prihodko O.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Mrva M.

Mrva M.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Prihodko O.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Mrva M.: 10 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
33°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 29%

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-21M15 Pardubice 1SFclayMaxim Mrva7-5 0-6 7-6(6)

Draw