Petr Nesterov vs Yanaki Milev — Plovdiv 3 Round of 32

Plovdiv 3 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

BUL5

Petr Nesterov

#300ATP

1456ELO

1410Clay ELO

23 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

LLLWWWWWWW

—

Sets

Monday, 31 August 2026 · 14:00

clay

BULWC

Yanaki Milev

#858ATP

22 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LWWLLWLWWL

Nesterov P.

Milev Y.

Petr Nesterov faces Yanaki Milev in the Plovdiv 3 round of 32 on clay. They have met once, Yanaki Milev leading 1–0. Petr Nesterov brings the better recent clay form (7 of 10).

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC

Nesterov P.69%

Milev Y.31%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Nesterov P. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Fatigue load: Yanaki Milev carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Head-to-head: Yanaki Milev leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at M15 Kursumlijska Banja 9 2023.
Surface form: Petr Nesterov 7 of 10, Yanaki Milev 5 of 10 on clay recently — Petr Nesterov the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Nesterov P.

6.1

Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Milev Y.

4.9

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

5.2Split 1–1 on clay

H2H

4.8Split 1–1 on clay

5.66 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

2.02 of last 10 on clay

0.0Lost last 2

Win streak

0.0

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

16 vs 5 matches

Statistics

This season

Nesterov P.Milev Y.

1st serve in·Even

65%

62%

1st serve points won·Even

65%

2nd serve points won·Even

53%

52%

Service points won·Even

61%

60%

Return points won·Even

40%

43%

Break points saved·Even

53%

57%

Aces / match·Dominant

4.8

1.8

Double faults / match·Dominant

1.1

3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Nesterov P.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Milev Y.

Milev Y.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Nesterov P.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

32°CClear

Wind 5 km/hHumidity 29%

Head to head

0–1

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2023-09-22	M15 Kursumlijska Banja 9	QF	clay	Yanaki Milev	6-2 6-3