Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Max SchoenhausComo Round of 32

Como · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#281ATP
1442ELO
1412Clay ELO
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLLLLWL
Sets
Monday, 31 August 2026 ·
clay
#317ATP
1508ELO
1467Clay ELO
19 yrs
Last 10
LWLWLLLWLW
Guillen Meza A.
vs
Schoenhaus M.

Alvaro Guillen Meza faces Max Schoenhaus in the Como round of 32 on clay. Alvaro Guillen Meza is the paper favourite — ranked #281 — but Max Schoenhaus arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 8 on clay to Alvaro Guillen Meza's 2.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Guillen Meza A.51%
Schoenhaus M.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Clay Elo 1412
Surface ELO
5.7+55 Clay Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1442
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1508
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.83 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.0Hard → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

22 vs 11 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
72%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
40%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.9
7.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.9
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Guillen Meza A.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Schoenhaus M.

Schoenhaus M.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Guillen Meza A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
80

Guillen Meza A.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Schoenhaus M.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
29°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 47%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw