Qinwen Zheng vs Kristina LiutovaUS Open Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Round of 128
#121WTA
1852ELO
1832Hard ELO
$283kYTD
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 31 August 2026 ·
hard
Stadium 17 · 1st on
#125WTA
1681ELO
1592Hard ELO
16 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWL
Zheng Q.
4-6 6-3 6-1
Liutova K.
Zheng Q.
4662
Liutova K.
6311

Qinwen Zheng defeated Kristina Liutova in the Round of 128 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 in favor of Zheng. Zheng served 10 aces and committed 6 double faults, while converting 38% of break points and winning 6 service breaks, compared to Liutova's 1 ace, 5 double faults, 75% break point conversion, and 3 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
56%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
Return points won·Clear edge
38%
52%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.4
0.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Zheng Q.72%
Liutova K.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Zheng Q. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.0+240 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Hard Elo 1592
7.1Overall Elo 1852
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1681
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.46 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
10.010 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
10.019-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
70
65

Zheng Q.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d) · Liutova K.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 72 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw