Sinja Kraus vs Karolina MuchovaUS Open Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Round of 128
#90WTA
1736ELO
1645Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 31 August 2026 ·
hard
Grandstand · 1st on
#7WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$4.5MYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
Kraus S.
3-6 0-6
Muchova K.
Kraus S.
300
Muchova K.
662

Karolina Muchova defeated Sinja Kraus in the Round of 128 at the US Open. Muchova won the match 6-3, 6-0. In the match, Muchova and Kraus hit one ace each, Muchova had no double faults while Kraus had two, and Muchova converted 57 percent of her break points while Kraus converted none; Muchova had four service breaks to Kraus' zero.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • Remarkable comeback from 5-2 down in second set, saving match point to defeat Vandewinkel 2-6, 7-5, 6-3; extends streak to 10 consecutive US Open second rounds.

    Umpiry summary — not a quote

    Muchova K.WTA Tennis

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
63%
Return points won·Even
47%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.3
3.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.1
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (61 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
92
Break points saved·Dominant
43
91
Break points won·Slight edge
97
88
Deciding sets·Slight edge
90
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
31
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Kraus S.8%
Muchova K.92%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Muchova K. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.1Hard Elo 1645
Surface ELO
9.9+390 Hard Elo edge
0.9Overall Elo 1736
ELO gap
9.1Overall Elo 2066
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.55 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.48 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
7.0Reached the quarters here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
97
88

Kraus S.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Muchova K.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw