Ilya Ivashka vs Yi ZhouZhangjiagang Round of 32

Zhangjiagang · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#385ATP
1538ELO
1509Hard ELO
32 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 31 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT COURT 5 · 3rd on
#245ATP
1456ELO
1445Hard ELO
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWLW
Ivashka I.
3-6 7-6 6-3
Zhou Y.
Ivashka I.
37762
Zhou Y.
66431

Ilya Ivashka defeated Yi Zhou in the Round of 32 at the Zhangjiagang hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 7-6, 6-3 in favor of Ivashka. Neither player recorded an ace, double fault, or service break during the match.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.6
6.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.7
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
32
13
Break points saved·Even
87
87
Break points won·Dominant
54
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
31
1
Tiebreaks·Even
12
14

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC
Ivashka I.53%
Zhou Y.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+64 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1445
6.0Overall Elo 1538
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1456
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.67 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.64 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
80
80

Ivashka I.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d) · Zhou Y.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
30°CThunderstorm
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw