Gustavo Heide vs Goncalo MarquesPorto Round of 32

Porto · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#128ATP
1695ELO
1679Clay ELO
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 31 August 2026 ·
clay
Central · 2nd on
#1035ATP
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Heide G.
6-4 6-3
Marques G.
Heide G.
662
Marques G.
430

Gustavo Heide defeated Goncalo Marques 6-4, 6-3 in the Round of 32 at the Porto clay court tournament. Heide converted 60% of his break points and secured three service breaks, while Marques was unable to capitalize on any of his break point opportunities. Heide served three aces to Marques' four, and he committed one double fault to Marques' three.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Gustavo Heide closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
54%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Even
42%
41%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.2
3.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.7
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Heide G.89%
Marques G.11%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Heide G. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.17 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
6.0Hard → Clay
Surface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
84
89

Heide G.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Marques G.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw