Matej Dodig vs Mili PoljicakComo Round of 32

Como · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#249ATP
1461ELO
1430Clay ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLWWWLL
Sets
Monday, 31 August 2026 ·
clay
#263ATP
1471ELO
1442Clay ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWWWWWW
Dodig M.
vs
Poljicak M.

Matej Dodig faces Mili Poljicak in the Como round of 32 on clay. Matej Dodig holds the paper edge — ranked #249. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Dodig M.43%
Poljicak M.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Clay Elo 1430
Surface ELO
5.1+12 Clay Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1461
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1471
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
6.26 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.47 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

23 vs 16 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
42%
Break points saved·Even
58%
58%
Aces / match·Even
4.8
4.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.4
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Dodig M.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Poljicak M.

Poljicak M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Dodig M.

Serve advantage — Poljicak M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
33
23
Break points saved·Even
76
77
Break points won·Even
3
7
Deciding sets·Dominant
47
13
Tiebreaks·Even
65
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
95

Dodig M.: 15 days rest · Poljicak M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
29°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 47%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw