Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic — US Open Round of 128

US Open · ATP · Round of 128
Mariano Navone
ARG
Mariano Navone
#49ATP
1822ELO
1693Hard ELO
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWWLW
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 31 August 2026 ·
hard
Arthur Ashe Stadium · 4th on
Novak Djokovic
SRB4
Novak Djokovic
#5ATP
2059ELO
2022Hard ELO
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLW
Navone M.
7-6 5-7 4-6 6-2 6-1
Djokovic N.
Navone M.
7754663
Djokovic N.
6576212

Mariano Navone defeated Novak Djokovic in the Round of 128 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 5-7, 4-6, 6-2, 6-1 in favor of Navone. Navone hit 9 aces and 8 double faults, converted 35% of break points, and made 6 service breaks, compared to Djokovic's 10 aces, 10 double faults, 33% break point conversion, and 4 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • “This is the most open US Open in ages, and I think it could go either way.”

    Djokovic N.Tennishead ↗

  • “I didn't enjoy myself. I think it was obvious that it was an awful feeling on the court for me.”

    Djokovic N.Sportsnet.ca ↗

  • “It was very tough for me because you are playing with the GOAT on this court. This is an amazing court and the biggest stage. I'm very happy.”

    Navone M.Sportsnet.ca ↗

  • “We learned to play on hard courts later in life. Argentines are raised on clay.”

    Navone M.Last Word On Sports ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Key context

  • Match story: Mariano Navone came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 5–7 4–6 6–2 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Navone M.Djokovic N.
1st serve in·Even
73%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
36%
Break points saved·Clear edge
55%
70%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.4
9.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Navone M.Djokovic N.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
53
100
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
100
Break points won·Clear edge
87
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
24
100
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
86
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Navone M.12%
Djokovic N.88%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Djokovic N. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Navone M.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Djokovic N.
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.9Hard Elo 1693
Surface ELO
9.1+329 Hard Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 2059
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
8.5Reached the semis here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Navone M.Djokovic N.
Freshness·Clear edge
70
90

Navone M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 70 games (7d) · Djokovic N.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 85%

Draw