Harriet Dart vs Peyton StearnsUS Open Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Round of 128
#131WTA
1597ELO
1580Hard ELO
30 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 31 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 12 · 1st on
#54WTA
1804ELO
1755Hard ELO
$476kYTD
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLWL
Dart H.
3-6 6-3 6-2
Stearns P.
Dart H.
3662
Stearns P.
6321

Harriet Dart defeated Peyton Stearns in the Round of 128 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 in favor of Dart. Key stats included 7 aces and 5 service breaks for Dart, compared to 6 aces and 3 service breaks for Stearns.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-14CincinnatiR128hardPeyton Stearns6-1 7-6
2021-08-25US OpenQ128hardHarriet Dart6-3 4-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
59%
Return points won·Even
46%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.8
4.4
Double faults / match·Even
3.6
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
44
44
Break points saved·Dominant
3
42
Break points won·Clear edge
84
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
80
14
Tiebreaks·Dominant
53
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Dart H.32%
Stearns P.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Stearns P. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Hard Elo 1580
Surface ELO
7.2+174 Hard Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1597
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1804
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
7.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.65 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
64
83

Dart H.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 78 games (7d) · Stearns P.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw