Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Katerina SiniakovaUS Open Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Round of 128
#67WTA
1805ELO
1773Hard ELO
$555kYTD
25 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 31 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 6 · 2nd on
#42WTA
1846ELO
1807Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLLWW
Cocciaretto E.
3-6 2-6
Siniakova K.
Cocciaretto E.
320
Siniakova K.
662

Katerina Siniakova defeated Elisabetta Cocciaretto in the Round of 128 at the US Open. Siniakova won the match 6-3, 6-2. Siniakova hit one ace and six double faults, while converting 80 percent of her break points and winning four service breaks to Cocciaretto's one.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-06-26Bad HomburgR32grassKaterina Siniakova6-3 6-4
2023-02-20MeridaQFhardKaterina Siniakova6-1 5-7 6-0
2022-07-11BudapestR16clayElisabetta Cocciaretto7-5 4-6 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
59%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
61%
Aces / match·Even
1.6
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
25
33
Break points saved·Even
22
21
Break points won·Slight edge
86
92
Deciding sets·Slight edge
12
17
Tiebreaks·Dominant
50
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Cocciaretto E.50%
Siniakova K.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1772
Surface ELO
5.4+34 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1805
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1846
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.06 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
97
88

Cocciaretto E.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Siniakova K.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 81%

Draw