Lorenzo Carboni vs Pedro Martinez — Como Round of 32
ESP2
Carboni L.
Lorenzo Carboni faces Pedro Martinez in the Como round of 32 on clay. Pedro Martinez is the paper favourite — ranked #148, a roughly 380-point clay Elo advantage — but Lorenzo Carboni arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 4 on clay to Pedro Martinez's 2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Martinez P. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Lorenzo Carboni comes in with 19 days of rest and 0 games in 14d, vs Pedro Martinez's 5 and 127.
- Surface form: Lorenzo Carboni 3 of 4, Pedro Martinez 2 of 4 on clay recently — Lorenzo Carboni the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadCarboni L.: 19 days rest · Martinez P.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.