Daniel Michalski vs Alejandro Moro Canas — Porto Round of 32

Porto · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Daniel Michalski
POL
Daniel Michalski
#324ATP
1435ELO
1386Clay ELO
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWW
—
Sets
Walkover
Monday, 31 August 2026 ·
clay
ESP
Alejandro Moro Canas
#235ATP
1526ELO
1484Clay ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLWLWWL
Michalski D.
vs
Moro Canas A.

Alejandro Moro Canas advanced to the next round of the Porto tournament with a walkover against Daniel Michalski in the Round of 32. Michalski withdrew before the match, awarding Moro Canas the win without a contest.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Michalski D.Moro Canas A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
59%
Aces / match·Even
2.4
2.7
Double faults / match·Even
1.8
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Michalski D.Moro Canas A.
Clutch Rating·Even
27
24
Break points saved·Dominant
24
82
Break points won·Slight edge
26
35
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
20
Tiebreaks·Dominant
62
7

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Michalski D.42%
Moro Canas A.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Moro Canas A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Michalski D.
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Moro Canas A.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.8Clay Elo 1386
Surface ELO
6.2+97 Clay Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1435
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1526
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.54 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Surface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Michalski D.Moro Canas A.
Freshness·Dominant
100
75

Michalski D.: 20 days rest · Moro Canas A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw