Gonzalo Bueno vs Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva — Como Round of 32

Como · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
PER3
Gonzalo Bueno
#172ATP
1491ELO
1469Clay ELO
$136kYTD
$352kCAREER
22 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWWWWL
—
Sets
Monday, 31 August 2026 ·
clay
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
BRA
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
#278ATP
1486ELO
1470Clay ELO
$76kYTD
$371kCAREER
26 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLWWLWL
Bueno G.
vs
Reis Da Silva J.

Gonzalo Bueno faces Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva in the Como round of 32 on clay. Gonzalo Bueno holds the paper edge — ranked #172.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Bueno G.71%
Reis Da Silva J.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bueno G. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Gonzalo Bueno has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 45 vs 12).
  • Surface form: Gonzalo Bueno 4 of 6, Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva 2 of 6 on clay recently — Gonzalo Bueno the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Gonzalo Bueno carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
1 common opponents · Bueno G. 0–1 · Reis Da Silva J. 0–1 · small sample
Both lost · different surfaces (Hard × Clay) · incl. team event▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bueno G.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Reis Da Silva J.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Clay Elo 1469
Surface ELO
5.0+1 Clay Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 1491
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1486
2.4Trails 1–4 on clay
H2H
7.6Leads 4–1 on clay
7.07 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.24 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
6.0Hard → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

37 vs 24 matches

Statistics

This season
Bueno G.Reis Da Silva J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
57%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
38%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.3
2.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bueno G.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Reis Da Silva J.

Reis Da Silva J.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Bueno G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Bueno G.Reis Da Silva J.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
45
12
Break points saved·Clear edge
29
49
Break points won·Even
45
43
Deciding sets·Dominant
88
9
Tiebreaks·Dominant
68
17

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Bueno G.Reis Da Silva J.
Freshness·
88
—

Bueno G.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
29°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 47%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw