Petr Brunclik vs Sebastian Sorger — Plovdiv 3 Round of 32

Plovdiv 3 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
CZE
Petr Brunclik
#359ATP
1526ELO
1469Clay ELO
20 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLWLWLWLW
—
Sets
Monday, 31 August 2026 ·
clay
AUT
Sebastian Sorger
#408ATP
20 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWWWWL
Brunclik P.
vs
Sorger S.

Petr Brunclik faces Sebastian Sorger in the Plovdiv 3 round of 32 on clay. Petr Brunclik is the paper favourite — ranked #359 — but Sebastian Sorger arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 10 on clay to Petr Brunclik's 4.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC
Brunclik P.61%
Sorger S.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Brunclik P. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Petr Brunclik 4 of 10, Sebastian Sorger 8 of 10 on clay recently — Sebastian Sorger the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Sebastian Sorger carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Brunclik P.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Sorger S.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.44 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
1.41 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

11 vs 17 matches

Statistics

This season
Brunclik P.Sorger S.
1st serve in·Even
64%
66%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
74%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
57%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.1
1.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Brunclik P.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sorger S.

Sorger S.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Brunclik P.

Serve advantage — Brunclik P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Brunclik P.Sorger S.
Freshness·
91
—

Brunclik P.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
33°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 29%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw