Henry Bernet vs Stefano Napolitano — Como Round of 32
Bernet H.
Henry Bernet faces Stefano Napolitano in the Como round of 32 on clay. Stefano Napolitano is the paper favourite — ranked #228, a roughly 170-point clay Elo advantage — but Henry Bernet arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 7 on clay to Stefano Napolitano's 3.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Napolitano S. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Henry Bernet 47 games in 14 days, Stefano Napolitano 55.
- Form trend: Henry Bernet's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Stefano Napolitano's has cooled.
- Surface form: Henry Bernet 6 of 7, Stefano Napolitano 3 of 7 on clay recently — Henry Bernet the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadBernet H.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Napolitano S.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.