Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth — US Open Round of 128
ITA30
Arnaldi M.
James Duckworth defeated Matteo Arnaldi in the Round of 128 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 5-7, 6-3, 6-2, 7-6 in favor of Duckworth. He hit 16 aces and committed 4 double faults, converting 32% of break points and securing 6 service breaks, compared to Arnaldi's 5 aces, 7 double faults, 27% break point conversion, and 4 service breaks.
Key context
- Match story: James Duckworth dropped the opening set before beating Matteo Arnaldi 5–7 6–3 6–2 7–6.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Arnaldi M. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadArnaldi M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 42 games (7d) · Duckworth J.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 129 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About