Marko Topo vs Valerio Aboian — Plovdiv 3 Round of 32
Topo M.
Marko Topo faces Valerio Aboian in the Plovdiv 3 round of 32 on clay. Marko Topo holds the paper edge — ranked #339, a roughly 60-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Marko Topo comes in with 6 days of rest and 19 games in 14d, vs Valerio Aboian's 21 and 0.
- Surface form: Marko Topo 4 of 10, Valerio Aboian 5 of 10 on clay recently — Valerio Aboian the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.