Yibing Wu vs Adam WaltonUS Open Round of 128

US Open · ATP · Round of 128
#113ATP
1743ELO
1741Hard ELO
$477kYTD
$1.9MCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLWWWLL
Sets
Sunday, 30 August 2026 ·
hard
#93ATP
1703ELO
1669Hard ELO
$531kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLWLLW
Wu Y.
vs
Walton A.

Yibing Wu faces Adam Walton in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Adam Walton holds the paper edge — ranked #93, defending last year's round of 64. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Wu Y.64%
Walton A.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Wu Y. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
10 common opponents · Wu Y. 7–4 · Walton A. 4–8
Wu Y. better · same surface, 26 days apart
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+72 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1669
5.5Overall Elo 1743
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1703
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.64 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.95 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

30 vs 39 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Even
59%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.5
6.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Wu Y.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Walton A.

Walton A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Wu Y.

Serve advantage — Wu Y.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
70
38
Break points saved·Even
92
92
Break points won·Dominant
39
8
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
83
Tiebreaks·Dominant
90
2

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
95
75

Wu Y.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Walton A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 79%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw