Tamara Zidansek vs Maria Timofeeva — US Open Round of 128
Zidansek T.
Tamara Zidansek faces Maria Timofeeva in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Maria Timofeeva is the paper favourite — ranked #92, a roughly 30-point hard Elo advantage — but Tamara Zidansek rides a 3-match win streak.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Timofeeva M. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Tamara Zidansek dropped the opening set before beating Bianca Andreescu 2–6 6–3 6–4.
- Fatigue load: Both played two three-setters in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
- Win streak: Tamara Zidansek arrives on a 3-match winning run.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadZidansek T.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 83 games (7d) · Timofeeva M.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.