Elina Svitolina vs Solana Sierra — US Open Round of 128
UKR9
Svitolina E.
Elina Svitolina faces Solana Sierra in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Elina Svitolina holds the paper edge — ranked #9, defending last year's round of 128, a roughly 340-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Svitolina E. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Elina Svitolina 28 games in 14 days, Solana Sierra 0.
- Surface form: Elina Svitolina 2 of 4, Solana Sierra 0 of 4 on hard recently — Elina Svitolina the sharper of late.
- Stage: Elina Svitolina defends last year's round of 128; Solana Sierra defends last year's round of 128.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadSvitolina E.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Sierra S.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.