Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti — US Open Round of 128
Shang J.
Juncheng Shang faces Marco Trungelliti in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Marco Trungelliti brings the better recent hard form (3 of 5).
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Shang J. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Serve & return: Juncheng Shang brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 41), Marco Trungelliti the stronger return game (Return Rating 62).
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Juncheng Shang 0 games in 14 days, Marco Trungelliti 22.
- Surface form: Juncheng Shang 2 of 5, Marco Trungelliti 3 of 5 on hard recently — Marco Trungelliti the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadShang J.: 15 days rest · Trungelliti M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.