Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Panna UdvardyUS Open Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Round of 128
#97WTA
1696ELO
1657Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWLLWW
Sets
Sunday, 30 August 2026 ·
hard
#76WTA
1681ELO
1577Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLLWLWL
Sawangkaew M.
vs
Udvardy P.

Mananchaya Sawangkaew faces Panna Udvardy in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Panna Udvardy is the paper favourite — ranked #76 — but Mananchaya Sawangkaew arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 7 on hard to Panna Udvardy's 3.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Sawangkaew M.68%
Udvardy P.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sawangkaew M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+80 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1577
5.2Overall Elo 1696
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1681
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.86 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

59 vs 35 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
47%
Service points won·Even
59%
55%
Return points won·Even
47%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
50%
Aces / match·Even
2.2
2.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (59 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Sawangkaew M.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Udvardy P.

Udvardy P.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Sawangkaew M.

Serve advantage — Sawangkaew M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
84
0
Break points saved·Dominant
74
4
Break points won·Dominant
92
57
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
6
Tiebreaks·

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
70
61

Sawangkaew M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d) · Udvardy P.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 102 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
22°CRain
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 82%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw