Dino Prizmic vs Alexander ShevchenkoUS Open Round of 128

US Open · ATP · Round of 128
#101ATP
1841ELO
1733Hard ELO
$530kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWLWLLW
Sets
Sunday, 30 August 2026 ·
hard
#97ATP
1669ELO
1642Hard ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLLWWWL
Prizmic D.
vs
Shevchenko A.

Dino Prizmic faces Alexander Shevchenko in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Alexander Shevchenko holds the paper edge — ranked #97, defending last year's round of 128.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Prizmic D.74%
Shevchenko A.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Prizmic D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
7 common opponents · Prizmic D. 3–4 · Shevchenko A. 3–7
Both lost · same surface, 2 days apart
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+91 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1642
7.2Overall Elo 1841
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1669
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.45 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.74 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

29 vs 35 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
52%
Service points won·Even
67%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
34%
Break points saved·Even
66%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
6.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Prizmic D.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Shevchenko A.

Shevchenko A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Prizmic D.

Serve advantage — Prizmic D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
71
61
Break points saved·Clear edge
92
78
Break points won·Dominant
64
27
Deciding sets·Even
92
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
37
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
100

Prizmic D.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Shevchenko A.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 79%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw