Anastasia Potapova vs Tereza ValentovaUS Open Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Round of 128
AUT24
Anastasia Potapova
#25WTA
25 yrs
Last 10
LLLWLLWLWW
Sets
Sunday, 30 August 2026 ·
hard
#57WTA
1818ELO
1797Hard ELO
$684kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
19 yrs
Last 10
WWWWLWLLWW
Potapova A.
vs
Valentova T.

Anastasia Potapova faces Tereza Valentova in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Anastasia Potapova is the paper favourite — ranked #25, defending last year's round of 64 — but Tereza Valentova arrives in form, winning all 4 of their last hard matches to Anastasia Potapova's 1.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Potapova A.55%
Valentova T.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Anastasia Potapova comes in with 13 days of rest and 18 games in 14d, vs Tereza Valentova's 1 and 95.
  • Surface form: Anastasia Potapova 1 of 4, Tereza Valentova 4 of 4 on hard recently — Tereza Valentova the sharper of late.
  • Win streak: Tereza Valentova arrives on a 4-match winning run.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
9 common opponents · Potapova A. 6–3 · Valentova T. 4–6
Potapova A. better · different surfaces (Clay × Hard)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Potapova A.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.34 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.47 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

26 vs 33 matches

Statistics

This season
Potapova A.Valentova T.
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
42%
Service points won·Even
55%
55%
Return points won·Even
47%
46%
Break points saved·Even
53%
56%
Aces / match·Even
2.7
2.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.2
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Potapova A.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Valentova T.

Valentova T.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Potapova A.Valentova T.
Freshness·Dominant
98
68

Potapova A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Valentova T.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 79%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw