David Poljak vs Jelle SelsPorto Qualifying Round of 32

Porto · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 32
#1119ATP
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWLLL
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 30 August 2026 ·
clay
Court 1 · 3rd on
#538ATP
1313ELO
1283Clay ELO
31 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWLWL
Poljak D.
3-6 6-3 4-6
Sels J.
Poljak D.
3641
Sels J.
6362

Jelle Sels defeated David Poljak 6-3, 3-6, 6-4 in the qualifying round 32 of the Porto clay tournament. The match saw both players hit three aces, with Sels committing three double faults and Poljak making two. Sels converted 33% of break points and won three service breaks to Poljak's two.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Jelle Sels closed it out in three sets, 6–3 3–6 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
60%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
32%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
44%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.5
3.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
8
15
Break points saved·Clear edge
38
61
Break points won·Even
6
4
Deciding sets·Slight edge
48
40
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
1
11

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Poljak D.37%
Sels J.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Sels J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
1.82 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.54 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
84
66

Poljak D.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Sels J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw