N. Podoroska vs Simona WaltertUS Open Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Round of 128
#447WTA
29 yrs
Last 10
LWLWLLLLWW
Sets
Sunday, 30 August 2026 ·
hard
#85WTA
1670ELO
1606Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLLWWWW
Podoroska N.
vs
Waltert S.

N. Podoroska faces Simona Waltert in the US Open round of 128 on hard. They have met once, N. Podoroska leading 1–0, though this is their first meeting on hard.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Podoroska N.54%
Waltert S.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Workload contrast: N. Podoroska 0 games in 14 days, Simona Waltert 38.
  • Head-to-head: N. Podoroska leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at W25 Santa Margherita Di Pula 2019.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
1 common opponents · Podoroska N. 0–1 · Waltert S. 1–1 · small sample
Waltert S. better · different surfaces (Clay × Grass)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
3.94 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
1.92 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

7 vs 40 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
46%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Even
53%
56%
Aces / match·Even
1.4
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.6
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Podoroska N.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Waltert S.

Waltert S.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Podoroska N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
92

Podoroska N.: 16 days rest · Waltert S.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 79%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-10-08W25 Santa Margherita Di PulaR32clayN. Podoroska6-1 6-3

Draw