Katie Volynets vs Linda Noskova — US Open Round of 128
Volynets K.
Katie Volynets faces Linda Noskova in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Linda Noskova is the paper favourite — ranked #6, defending last year's round of 32, a roughly 180-point hard Elo advantage — but Katie Volynets arrives in form, winning all 4 of their last hard matches to Linda Noskova's 2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Noskova L. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: Linda Noskova has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 91 vs Katie Volynets's 14).
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Katie Volynets 68 games in 14 days, Linda Noskova 56.
- Surface form: Katie Volynets 4 of 4, Linda Noskova 2 of 4 on hard recently — Katie Volynets the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadVolynets K.: played today · 4 matches, 68 games (7d) · Noskova L.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.